Avaí vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 2
BRU
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
3 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 3
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
0 - 1
CRI
23%
23%
55%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 1
CRI
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
CRI
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |