Avaí vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
AVA
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
COT
2 - 0
PPE
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
3 - 0
COT
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 2
COT
18%
27%
56%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
GOI
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 0
COT
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |