Avaí vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
AVA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AVA
6 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 1
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
COT
1 - 0
PPE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
COT
2 - 4
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 2
COT
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 1
COT
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
COT
3 - 0
CSA
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | +1 |