Avaí vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRB
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |