Avaí vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 0
BRU
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
TUB
2 - 1
AVA
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRI
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 1
AVA
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 0
FLU
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
FFL
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 2
CHA
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
HER
84%
13%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TUB
0 - 2
CHA
14%
23%
63%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |