Catarinense 1 Etapas Finales Final
Global 1-1
Avaí vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
AVA
12%
18%
70%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 1
LIT
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 0
AVA
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 3
AVA
20%
25%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
JEC
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
10%
20%
70%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |