Avaí vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
AVA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
BRU
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
BRU
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |