Avaí vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FFL
4 - 1
AVA
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
URT
1 - 1
AVA
10%
22%
67%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 1
CAC
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVA
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 0
LON
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
5 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 3
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
CEI
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |