Avaí vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVA
74%
18%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CUI
1 - 0
AVA
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
AVA
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
18%
25%
58%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
CEA
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 1
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
CEA
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
CUI
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |