Avaí vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
AVA
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SCI
4 - 2
AVA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
ATL
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 0
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
AMF
4 - 1
CEA
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |