Avaí vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 0
AVA
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 3
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
AVA
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRZ
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
AVA
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CEA
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
GOI
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 1
CEA
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |