Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
DES
1 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 0
AVA
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
AVA
3 - 0
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TUB
0 - 2
AVA
14%
21%
64%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 1
MET
78%
16%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
REM
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 0
TUB
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MET
2 - 0
BRU
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 4
CRI
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |