Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SCI
3 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 2
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
AVA
13%
20%
68%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
4 - 0
MET
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
CAM
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
BRU
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRI
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FFL
2 - 1
BRU
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |