Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 0
AVA
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
CRI
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
BRU
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
MET
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
JEC
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
4 - 0
BRU
86%
11%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |