Avaí vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
FLA
6 - 1
AVA
89%
9%
3%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
FLU
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
COR
3 - 0
AVA
67%
22%
11%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AVA
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATP
23%
28%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
ATP
2 - 0
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATP
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
BOT
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |