Avaí vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 2
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
AVA
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
AVA
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 2
SCI
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 2
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 1
CEA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATM
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |