Avaí vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
OES
0 - 0
AVA
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVA
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
LUV
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 1
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
PAL
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
AMF
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
AMF
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 0
OES
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |