Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-3
Avaí vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 1
AVA
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 0
AVA
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AVA
3 - 2
CRI
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
AVA
4 - 1
VOL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AVA
3 - 1
CAM
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 1
AVA
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 2
TOM
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 0
GUR
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
AMF
20%
23%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 3
AMF
10%
19%
71%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |