Herculaneum 1924 vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
AVH
0 - 1
FBC
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
AVH
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AVH
4 - 1
CSV
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
AVH
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AVH
0 - 0
PIC
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SSM
2 - 0
SSE
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
SSM
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 2
TRA
42%
23%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
CYN
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 1
SSM
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |