Herculaneum 1924 vs Potenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 2
AVH
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AVH
1 - 1
TRA
44%
23%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 3
AVH
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 0
CYN
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSM
3 - 1
AVH
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 2
ANZ
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 1
RPO
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RPO
1 - 0
FRA
39%
26%
34%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RPO
4 - 3
TRA
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 1
RPO
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |