Herculaneum 1924 vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ANZ
0 - 0
AVH
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RPO
0 - 0
AVH
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AVH
2 - 1
FRA
39%
25%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
AVH
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 1
SSE
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 2
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
NOC
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 2
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RPO
2 - 1
NOC
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 1
CSV
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |