Auxerre vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 0
AUX
32%
28%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
AUX
4 - 1
FAR
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
AUX
4 - 0
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 3
AUX
30%
29%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 2
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2006 |
DIJ
2 - 0
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 0
LOR
46%
29%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
SED
0 - 3
VAL
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 0
IST
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
SÈT
1 - 2
VAL
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |