Auxerre vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
MON
2 - 0
AUX
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
AUX
3 - 1
LEN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
AUX
1 - 0
LHA
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
SOC
2 - 2
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 0
STL
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1986 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
MON
1 - 0
TFC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
TFC
1 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
ASN
2 - 0
TFC
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |