Auxerre vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 3
AUX
30%
29%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 2
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAN
3 - 2
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
AUX
0 - 0
LMU
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 1
AUX
47%
28%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
STR
1 - 3
ASN
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
SOC
1 - 1
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
STR
0 - 1
NAN
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NIC
3 - 1
STR
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |