Auxerre vs Stade Rennais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
LHA
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 1
SED
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 0
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
REN
2 - 2
NIC
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LHA
0 - 1
REN
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
REN
3 - 4
GIR
34%
27%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
REN
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 2
REN
6%
17%
77%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |