Auxerre vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
NAN
2 - 1
AUX
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 2
GIR
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
STL
1 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
LHA
1 - 1
STL
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
STR
2 - 1
STL
49%
27%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
GIR
2 - 1
STL
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
STL
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |