Auxerre vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
AUX
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1987 |
STL
0 - 2
AUX
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 1
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
MON
2 - 0
AUX
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
AUX
3 - 1
LEN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 2
TFC
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
MON
0 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
PSG
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 1
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |