Auxerre vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1981 |
LEN
5 - 2
AUX
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 0
PSG
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1981 |
ASS
3 - 0
AUX
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
TOU
2 - 0
AUX
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
AUX
3 - 0
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASS
18%
21%
60%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1981 |
STR
2 - 3
BRE
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
PSG
1 - 2
BRE
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1981 |
SOC
0 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |