UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 5-0
Auxerre vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
STB
0 - 2
AUX
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ASN
2 - 0
AUX
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
AUX
4 - 0
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
AUX
2 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
TRO
2 - 0
AUX
29%
28%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
STB
6 - 1
MFK
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
STB
0 - 2
AUX
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
STB
2 - 0
FLO
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
FLO
1 - 1
STB
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
STB
7 - 1
BBS
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |