Auxerre vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 2
AUX
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
AUX
0 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 0
AUX
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
AUX
6 - 1
MET
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
BRE
2 - 0
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
SPO
0 - 3
LIL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
NÎM
1 - 0
SPO
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAS
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
MON
1 - 0
SPO
82%
12%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 0
GIR
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |