Auxerre vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
STU
1 - 1
AUX
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 0
AUX
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
AUX
1 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
AUX
0 - 2
STU
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
MET
1 - 2
AUX
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 0
GIR
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
ASS
3 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 2
ASS
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ASS
3 - 1
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +2 |