Auxerre vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
SOC
3 - 2
AUX
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
AUX
1 - 0
MPL
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
TFC
0 - 0
AUX
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
AUX
1 - 0
LIL
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
AUX
3 - 0
SPO
56%
26%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
ASS
2 - 1
SPO
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
PSG
3 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAE
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ASS
0 - 1
MET
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |