Auxerre vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
AUX
1 - 1
STL
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
AUX
1 - 1
MON
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
STL
54%
28%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MON
0 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
TFC
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 0
PSG
33%
29%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |