Auxerre vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
16º
12º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
1 - 0
ANG
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
AUX
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
4 - 0
REN
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 2
AUX
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
NAN
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
PSG
68%
17%
14%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 0
TFC
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 4
PSG
8%
15%
78%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 2
ATM
50%
23%
27%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |