Auxerre vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUX
24%
27%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUX
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
GIR
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
LIL
0 - 4
AUX
20%
27%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
NÎM
1 - 0
MPL
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
NÎM
3 - 2
STR
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
THO
0 - 2
NÎM
29%
23%
47%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
NÎM
3 - 1
ASS
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
NÎM
3 - 1
SAI
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |