Auxerre vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
5º
16º
14º
4
8º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 1% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REI
2 - 2
AUX
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 0
RED
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
AUX
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
AUX
20%
23%
58%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
AUX
14%
19%
67%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 3
NIC
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIZ
2 - 2
NIC
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
LEG
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
LAU
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |