Auxerre vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
USB
0 - 0
AUX
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
AUX
0 - 3
LYO
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 0
AUX
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AUX
0 - 1
SOC
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
AUX
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 3
MPL
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GIR
4 - 0
NIC
66%
21%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 2
NIC
50%
27%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 0
LHA
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |