Auxerre vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
AUX
0 - 2
REN
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ASN
4 - 1
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
AUX
1 - 0
CAE
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
STR
3 - 0
AUX
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 0
LEN
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
NIC
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |