Auxerre vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUX
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
AUX
1 - 0
LIL
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
NAN
0 - 1
AUX
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
AUX
0 - 0
MET
51%
26%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
34%
30%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
NIC
0 - 4
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
NIC
2 - 1
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
LEN
4 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
NIC
1 - 4
TFC
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |