Europa League 1/64
Global 2-0
Auxerre vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
4 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LYO
1 - 1
AUX
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
AUX
2 - 1
REN
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GIR
2 - 0
AUX
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 2
STR
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NEX
3 - 1
GCZ
34%
24%
43%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 3
SER
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 0
VAL
56%
21%
22%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |