Auxerre vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
SED
1 - 2
AUX
39%
28%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
AUX
2 - 0
SOC
50%
27%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
AMN
0 - 3
AUX
6%
18%
77%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 0
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 0
REN
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LYO
0 - 0
NAN
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
NAN
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
NAN
4 - 1
SED
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |