Auxerre vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1986 |
MET
0 - 1
AUX
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
AUX
3 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
AUX
1 - 1
STL
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
NAN
0 - 1
PSG
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
NAN
0 - 4
TOR
65%
23%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
MON
3 - 1
NAN
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
NAN
0 - 0
LHA
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
SOC
3 - 1
NAN
35%
28%
37%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |