Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NIO
0 - 4
AUX
27%
27%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 1
LHA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
AUX
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
AUX
0 - 0
PFC
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
AMI
1 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 0
SOC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TFC
4 - 1
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
CLE
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 5
ASN
65%
21%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
CAE
42%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |