Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
REN
1 - 0
AUX
31%
25%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
ESP
1 - 0
AUX
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
AUX
1 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
MPL
1 - 1
AUX
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 1
SOC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 1
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 1
LMU
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
FCM
2 - 2
ASN
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1998 |
ASN
2 - 0
AMI
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |