Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 3
AUX
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
AUX
0 - 1
PSG
55%
26%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
ASS
2 - 1
AUX
32%
31%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1990 |
AUX
0 - 3
CAN
64%
24%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
MON
0 - 0
AUX
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1991 |
ASN
2 - 0
SOC
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
ASN
1 - 1
MPL
35%
30%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
ASN
0 - 0
REN
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
BRE
3 - 3
ASN
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |