Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
SOC
3 - 0
AUX
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
AUX
0 - 0
NÎM
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 2
AUX
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
AUX
1 - 0
REN
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
1 - 2
PSG
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
SPO
0 - 0
ASN
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASN
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 1
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |