Auxerre vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
AAB
1 - 1
AUX
34%
29%
37%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
29%
29%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 0
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SOC
1 - 2
AUX
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
AUX
3 - 1
REN
55%
25%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MET
0 - 0
GIR
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
MET
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MET
1 - 1
LYO
22%
26%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 2
MET
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
NAN
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |