Auxerre vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
LHA
0 - 2
AUX
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
GCZ
3 - 1
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
AUX
7 - 0
LYO
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
PSG
1 - 1
AUX
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
AUX
1 - 0
GCZ
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 1
MET
35%
30%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1996 |
SCP
2 - 1
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
MET
1 - 2
LHA
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
LYO
0 - 0
MET
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
MET
2 - 0
SCP
35%
29%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |