Auxerre vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LYO
0 - 2
AUX
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
REN
2 - 0
AUX
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 1
TFC
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LHA
1 - 2
AUX
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
33%
30%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LMU
2 - 2
REN
37%
30%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 2
LMU
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
GUI
1 - 0
LMU
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LMU
2 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
LMU
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |