Auxerre vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 1
AUX
28%
28%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
AUX
1 - 0
TRO
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AUX
0 - 0
LYO
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2007 |
LIL
2 - 1
SED
58%
24%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 1
LIL
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 1
ASN
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
LIL
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LIL
2 - 0
SOC
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |